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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
12.99 JOD
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Description
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything – and take advantage of uncertaintyWhat have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they’re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. ‘Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide … I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person’ Will Self, Independent on Sunday’He leaps like some superhero of the mind’ Boyd Tonkin, Independent
Additional information
| Weight | 0.352 kg |
|---|---|
| Dimensions | 2.7 × 12.9 × 19.8 cm |
| by | |
| format | |
| Language | |
| Pages | 480 |
| publisher | |
| Year Published | 2008-2-28 |
| Imprint | |
| Publication City/Country | London, United Kingdom |
| ISBN 10 | 0141034599 |
| About The Author | Nassim Nicholas Taleb is an uncompromizing no-nonsense thinker for our times. He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's School of Engineering. He is the author of the 4-volume INCERTO (Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and The Bed of Procrustes). Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports. |
A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected |
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| Other text | Like the conversation of a raconteur … hugely enjoyable – compelling |
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